We're having a...

BOY!!!

I think that is his hand at the top of his head. Isn't he just the cutest wee thing you ever did see?

 So is he :) We went out to dinner to celebrate our new family and my birthday.

First family picture! We're super excited!

Gender prediction!

On Wednesday, Kyle and I are going to my 20 week ultrasound and we'll find out if we're having a boy or a girl. So we decided to do put some old wives' tales to the test! We based our tests on research and results from this blog. She and I were in the same major (Political Science) and I really got to know her in our awesome political economy of women class and capstone class. I also thoroughly enjoyed their statistical analysis. We did different tests because we didn't agree with some they used and we've already had some predictions made. So here goes:

The Tests
1. Pencil on a string (circle=boy, back and forth=girl): GIRL
2. Heartbeat (under 140=boy, above 140=girl): GIRL
3. Genetics (based on Kyle's nieces and nephews): BOY
4. Ancient Chinese Prediction Method (Age at conception + Month of conception): BOY
5. Ancient Mayan Prediction Method (Age and Year of conception are both even or odd=girl, not the same=boy): BOY
6. How a key is picked up (narrow part=girl, round part=boy): GIRL
7. Pregnancy acne (normal=boy, worse=girl): BOY
8. Swinging wedding ring (circle=boy, back and forth=girl): GIRL
9. Morning sickness in first trimester (bad=girl, little or none=boy): BOY
10. How baby weight is carried (hips=girl, tummy=boy): BOY

(copied from blog)
Our Analysis
"We decided to use a weighted average of our ten-dimensional vector to statistically combine the results of all ten tests. The weights are a number between 1 and 0 that conveys how much we trust that particular measure (1 = perfect trust, 0 = no trust whatsoever). The vector of predictions (Vp) is first assembled thus (1 = girl, -1 = boy)":

[1, 1, -1, -1, -1, 1, -1, 1, -1, -1]

 Our trust values are chosen based on the following reasons:
1. We trust this one a lot. Our friend Dennis performed this test on his wife and friends and has been right every time. Trust = .98
2. We found studies that disprove this test and that heart rate is based more closely on the baby's birth weight. However, the study found that boys tend to be heavier than girls and thus have a lower heart rate, though it is possible to have a heavy girl and vice versa. Trust = .65
3. Genetics are pretty hard to argue with. Of Kyle's 6 biological niblings, 5 are boys and 1 is a girl. But surprises can happen! Trust = .87
4. While ancient methods are tried and true, Chinese culture tends to be more biased toward boys. Trust = .75
5. Again, ancient methods are tried and true, and this researcher has no knowledge of ancient Mayan biases. Trust = .93
6. Not a lot of trust in this test as results depend upon too many variables (e.g. weight and size of key, direction key is pointing, etc.). Trust = .2
7. This is preposterous; girls should make your skin glow. Trust = .2
8. Unlike the pencil on a string, we could not get a good reading on this test. Trust = .01
9. This is also somewhat unfounded. The foreign entity of the boy fetus should make me sicker. And, as was said on the other blog, "Girls don't make me barfy. This is simply absurd." Trust = .1
10. No opinion on this test. Trust is a neutral .5

Trust vector (Vt):

[.98, .65, .87, .75, .93, .2, .2, .01, .1, .5]

Final weighted average =

Vp * Vt / 10 = -0.151

-0.151 < 0

So we might be having a BOY. We'll see how accurate our prediction is on Wednesday. Kyle anticipates this method becoming more accurate with the more children we have as we weed out the inaccurate tests. Stay tuned! We're so excited (read: Kyle is curious and I'm antsy)!

 

Look what we made!

So excited!

I got a bike! I'm really happy! It needs some repairs and tuning up but it is great and it is mine and I love it! Pictures to come :)

The best 2 years so far

It's weird to think that Kyle and I have been married for two years and that we've known each other for three. It feels like we've known each other for ever, yet it wasn't so long ago that we didn't. We've grown together and he is perfect for me. Our anniversary was actually a few weeks ago. We went to dinner at Mimi's Cafe and Kyle gave me a card that included our itinerary for our actual celebration: dinner at Chef's Table, show at the Hale Center Theater, stay at the Hine's Mansion bed & breakfast, stroll Downtown Provo, and watch Stadium of Fire and the Beach Boys! Lots of fun and nice to have a midweek vacation with the man who makes me happiest.

 

 

  

Happy anniversary love! The best is yet to come *clink*

Feeling like a rockstar

This has been such a good week. On Wednesday night I did the open mic night for HumorU and totally rocked it! I was super nervous my jokes wouldn't go over well, so I went into it just hoping someone would laugh. And they did! The guys in the club especially enjoyed the aside I made about my husband ("He thinks he's some sort of comedian or something"). (For those who don't know, my husband is in the club, and he's adorable. Here's some videos of him.) So that was really good. I mean, it wasn't perfect. No one really got my pizza delivery guy joke, but that's ok. I was one vote away from getting a callback! That's definitely better than I expected!

Then when I finished and printed out my statistics homework last night (more than 12 hours before it was due, I'll have you know), Kyle just stood in awe that I could create and understand equations that he couldn't even read! That made me feel super smart :)

This morning I got my stats homework back from last week and I got 100%! (The average in my lab was 70%.) I'm totally rocking my hardest class!

What a way to go into a weekend :D

Happy anniversary of our first kiss!

Kyle played hookie from work today so we could spend some quality time together. I didn't realize how much I missed him until today. It was a strange realization because we spend lots of time together, but usually we're with other couples or shopping or making dinner or watching a movie, so there's not much chance to just hug.

We walked to the library to pick up Hitch and lots of Muppet movies, then we changed into swimsuits to go swimming.

Unfortunately the pool was closed (these are our sad faces),

so we went home and watched The Point and ate food while I worked on thank you cards. We also watched Muppets from Space and played on the piano together. Finally, our day ended with a walk. I like hookie days :)